Thursday Service Play Thread 07/01/2021

[BuzzKill]

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[BuzzKill]

Jimmy Adams

Play Rating: D units
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -130 T Gonsolin (RHP), P Corbin (LHP) Must Start
Riding a 5 game winning streak, the Dodgers will open up a 4 games set in Washington Thursday with Tony Gonsolin on the mound. Gonsolin has been very limited in action this season, but he’s done well in the games he’s been asked to start, allowing just 1 run in all 4 starts. He doesn’t go deep into games, so we’ll need the LA bullpen to come through in order to pull this one out. The Nationals are sitting at just above .500 and Patrick Corbin will get things started. Corbin enters with an ERA of 5.33 and gave up 3 earned to the Marlins in his latest start. It’s not often we get LA at a price this cheap. Take the Dodgers.
Line Parameter: 4 units at -130 or lower, 3 units at higher than -130

Play Rating: D units
Play: San Francisco Giants -138 J Cueto (RHP), M Kelly (RHP) Must Start
The Giants have been the most profitable team in baseball this season and we’re getting them at a great price considering they’re playing the biggest “fade” team in the league. San Fran was off Wednesday and will travel to Arizona for a 4 game set. Johnny Cueto takes the mound fresh off possibly his best start of the season. Cueto didn’t allow a run in 7 innings against the A’s in his last start. Meanwhile, Arizona has dropped 24 of their last 26 games, with a 17 game losing streak in between. Merrill Kelly has strung together a couple of good starts, but this a “bet against” squad all the way, especially against a team like San Francisco. Take the Giants.
Line Parameter: 4 units at -140 or lower, 3 units at higher than -140

 

[BuzzKill]

Ben Burns

J* over-217-hawks

paula badosa-190 (already started)

 

[BuzzKill]

Newsletters - /www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=340&p=13530140&viewfull=1#post13530140

 

[sailfish]

Wise Guy's VIP Play for today:
E0 Dime | $12,500.00 Colorado Rockies Money-Line

 

[sailfish]

Ben Burns

J* over-217-hawks

paula badosa-190 (already started)

J*-Phillies-125

I*-Yankees-175

 

[sailfish]

Vernon Croy
Blue Jays -1.5 -110 (E)

 

[sailfish]

Docs
Portland Timbers +5 -135 (D)
DeChambeau -125 over Partick Reed RD. 1 (D)

 

[BuzzKill]

Kyle Akins

ATLANTA @ MILWAUKEE | 07/01 | 8:30 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -2
ANALYSIS: While not ideal, Milwaukee has enough experience playing without Giannis Antetokounmpo that it knows the adjustments to be made with the ball in Khris Middleton’s hands. With the Bucks at home, expect a spirited performance, much like Atlanta had playing without Trae Young in Game 4. Milwaukee’s 88 points in Game 4 came after it scored 113 points in its Game 3 victory. The Bucks are 7-0 ATS with rest after they scored at least 25 fewer points in their last game than two games ago.

L.A. ANGELS @ N.Y. YANKEES | 07/01 | 1:05 PM EDT
L.A. ANGELS +147
ANALYSIS: It is a quick turnaround today from last night’s huge comeback victory for the Angels. Los Angeles gave up seven runs in the first inning and had to claw way back for an 11-8 win. The Angels are 6-0 since May 29, 2019, in the last game of a series off a road comeback win. While New York scored eight runs, those runs came over just two innings. The Yankees are 0-7 since May 27 as a favorite of more than -125 off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at most two innings.

 

[BuzzKill]

Tony George

D Units - #913 San Francisco (-145) vs Arizona *9:40 EST
B Units - Chicago White Sox (-145) vs Minnesota *2:10 EST - EARLY GAME

 

[FreeKick]

Green Falcon Picks (of Green Pitch Sports)

Atletico Mineiro MG - AC Goianiense GO
Brazil, Serie A, 00:00 CET (Jul 2) / 6:00 PM ET
1.1 Units: AC Goianiense GO +0.75 -113

Record since Feb 20, when service started:
73-49-5 (65-45.5-5) / +51.908 Units

 

[TheCapt]

Docs Cappers? Root? TIA!

 

[BuzzKill]

Dave Essler

PLAY: Hawks/Bucks OVER 215
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY

To me this is a classic over reaction number. We know it's not likely Giannis isn't going to play, but nothing surprises me. We think Young will play, but again, maybe not. Let's even assume the both sit. Atlanta just scored 110 without Young. The Bucks played eleven games (and won six) without Giannis, so both teams have time playing without the injured star. Milwaukee just saw how the‚ Hawks would/might play without Young. The Hawks know how the Bucks play without Giannis. Okay, enough on that. This could be as close to an elimination game for the Bucks without actually being one as it gets. They have a great record at home, not having lost at home prior to game one since 4/19. The Hawks know they can beat a full strength Bucks team on the road. The Hawks know this is as close to ending the series without actually ending the series as it gets. We know the Bucks have scorers beyond Giannis with Holiday and Middleton. What's also true is that although the Bucks may have the best two players on the court after the stars, the Hawks probably have the next six best players and are deeper. So, Atlanta will be the ones to push the pace and the Bucks will be able to keep up. I expect a close game (lean Bucks a bit) and that only helps late. What's also interesting is that the 1H total is around 110 - which is higher than you'd expect for a 215ish game. So, I am not biting the obvious apples tonight - just look at what the final was in the Western Conference last night.

 

[BuzzKill]

The Winners Circle

MLB
Play New York Mets -165 over Atlanta (MLB)
Play Oakland -190 over Texas (MLB)

NBA
Play Atlanta +2 over Milwaukee (NBA)

 

[BuzzKill]

Root

contrarian - Atlanta Hawks

 

[BuzzKill]

Allen East_man
GU - red sox -1.5

Docs MLB
D - marlins +115 over phillies
D - nationals +125 over dodgers
E - reds -1.5, rl, +175 over padres
D - reds/padres over 9.5 runs
D - braves +150 over mets
E - angels/ny yankees over 9.5

Docs NBA:
DU-Milwaukee -3.0

Ferringo MLB
A - Philadelphia (-125) over Miami
A - Philadelphia (-1.5, +160) over Miami
B - Boston (-1.5, -120) over Kansas
A - Oakland (-1.5, +120) over Texas
B - Houston (-1.5, -120) over Cleveland
B - 'Over' 11.0 St. Louis at Colorado
A - 'Over' 9.5 L.A. Angels at N.Y. Yankees

Indian Cowboy
G - over 215 Atlanta vs. Milwaukee
WNBA -30u (20-23)
U156 CON/IND (Gu)

Jason Sharpe
GU - Bucks -3
GU on white Sox ML

Scott Spreitzer
Bucks -2.5 (EU)

Vernon Croy
Bucks O215 (EU)
Blue Jays -1.5 -110 (E)

 

[BuzzKill]

The Whales Picks

Platinum bets to win $100
420pm 909 New York Mets -160

Gold Bets to win $80

1237pm 924 A's Run Line -1.5
1007am 917 Mariners run line +1.5
1010am 920 Red Sox run line -1.5

Bronze Bets at $40

405pm 905 Brewers run line -1.5
405pm 905 Over 8 on Brewers
1005am 915 Over 9.5 on Angels

Two team parlay at $80

1237pm 924 Oakland A's -175
1010am 920 Boston Red Sox -235

 

[BuzzKill]

Dave Price
6
Astros

Jesse Schule
Mets

Aaa
Mets
Toronto rl

Jack Jones
20
Dodgers
15
St louis

Jim Feist
Giants

Rickey Tran
Blue jays

Big al
Mets

Rocky atkinson
Milw rl
White sox

Bryan Powers
Stl

Asa
Oakland

 

[BuzzKill]

Insider Sports Report

D* St. Louis (Wainwright) -140 over Colorado (Senzatela)
Range: -120 to -160

C* Milwaukee -2 over Atlanta (NBA)
Range: PK to -4

 

[BuzzKill]

Sportsline Computer

MLB

Toronto -190